Posts Tagged ‘demand’

Get More

Posted: October 2, 2018 in Thought for the Day
Tags: , , ,

“Demand more from yourself and you will get more.” –Austin Root

“You can’t fake an economic recovery….  Instead of ‘stimulating’ a recovery, the feds have ‘simulated’ one.  They dropped the price of capital to near zero.  Commodity producers took the bait.  They borrowed money and increased production….  You can’t get real demand from empty credit.  Real demand comes from Main Street, not Wall Street.” -Bill Bonner

Create Demand?

Posted: December 24, 2014 in Economics
Tags: , , , , , ,

“But demand is a natural thing.  It comes about when people have earned money… and when they would rather buy something with that money than save it….  If you could really stimulate by creating phony demand, Argentina and Zimbabwe would have two of the world’s leading economies.” -Bill Bonner

True Demand?

Posted: November 22, 2014 in Economics
Tags: , , , , , ,

The idea of central planners “is that they try to create demand where none exists.  That is to say they make unearned money and undeserved credit available to people who are unable to pay it back. ” -Bill Bonner

Create Money?

Posted: July 1, 2014 in Economics
Tags: , , , , ,

“Why do you need to earn money to create demand when you can just create it?” -Diary of a Rogue Economist

Well, here we ago again.  Up until now, most of the “questionable” home loans available since the housing meltdown have been rural development loans offered through the USDA.  The questionable part in my mind are the “no down payment required” and “guaranteed loan” aspects.  But, according to a Reuters article, Wells Fargo is again planning to jump back into the “subprime” market.  Why?  Because they are experiencing a downturn in revenue.  Hmm, does this seem like a sound business decision?  (GM is also selling cars to subprime customers to help their sales).  Does this sound promising?

Some interesting points from the Reuters article makes me scratch my head:

1.  “…loosening of credit standards could boost housing demand…”  Shouldn’t demand for housing be boosted because people can actually afford them?  Isn’t it a false demand by any other standard?

2.  “To avoid the taint associated with the word ‘subprime’, lenders are calling their loans ‘another chance mortgages’ or ‘alternative mortgage program’.”  Does changing the name of something actually make it better?  Does duping people make these mortgages safer?

3.  “If the borrower does not meet those hurdles and later defaults on a mortgage, he or she can sue the lender and argue the loan should never have been made in the first place.”  Seriously, then why do we make the purchaser sign on the bottom line?  That point was missed during the initial crisis; purchasers were simply considered victims.  Everyone wants to blame the bank.  Thank you Dodd-Frank!

4.  “Subprime mortgages were at the center of the financial crisis, but many lenders believe that done with proper controls, the risks can be managed.”  I am sure they thought the same thing last time.  Risk is guaranteed to be risky; a la the recent death of the snake handling pastor.

5.  “The bank is looking to lend to borrowers with weaker credit, but only if those mortgages can be guaranteed by the FHA.  Because the loans are backed by the government, Wells Fargo can package them into bonds and sell them to investors.”  And there we have it!  Guaranteed by the government!  In other words, by the American taxpayer!  Let’s see, what would I provide to the American consumer if the government will guarantee it?  Anything!  The second part of the quote explains exactly what they were doing before, turning them into investments.  Subprime investments,  I’ll pass.

It looks like the strategy must be paying dividends.  According to the Wall Street Journal, “Household debt jumps as banks loosen up.”  Wells Fargo knows what works to get people borrowing.  The interesting thing is that they still haven’t resolved all of their issues with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac from the original crisis, but see no issues with stepping back into those familiar waters.

All I can say is, good luck with that….